Lean
Take Seattle Mariners -1.5 at -110
Research scorecard
How strong is the case?
Moderate evidence
Historical context
Comparable spots split roughly even (60%, 122 games).
Recent form
Seattle Mariners 4-6 — neither hot nor cold.
Market pricing
Edge of +11.8% versus current price.
Supported bymarket pricing
Note: 3 dimensions omitted due to missing data.
The case for Seattle Mariners
Why we like this bet
- ✓Los Angeles Angels are only 15-27 on the road this season.
- ✓Our number on this side carries an estimated +11.8% edge versus the current price.
Reasons to be cautious
The case against this bet
- !Los Angeles Angels lead the season series 2-1 (3 meetings).
How similar teams performed›
HISTORICAL EDGE IS NEUTRAL
Across 122 comparable spots in 2025–2026, Seattle Mariners have run roughly to expectation (60%) — no strong directional signal.
CounterpointOpponent has won 39% of comparable road-side spots across 123 games.
Road side
Los Angeles Angels
123 comparable spots · 2025–2026 seasons
Win rate
39%
Avg margin
-0.8
Avg total
9.6
Average game total
Spots like this average 9.6 combined points.
Filters: road games only
Show 12 most recent spots
26-06-21@ AthleticsW 9-7
26-06-21@ AthleticsW 7-0
26-06-20@ AthleticsL 11-12
26-06-19@ AthleticsL 0-5
26-06-17@ Arizona DiamondbacksL 1-8
26-06-17@ Arizona DiamondbacksW 7-0
26-06-16@ Arizona DiamondbacksL 3-4
26-06-07@ Los Angeles DodgersW 13-5
26-06-07@ Los Angeles DodgersL 2-9
26-06-06@ Los Angeles DodgersL 0-1
26-05-31@ Tampa Bay RaysL 2-5
26-05-30@ Tampa Bay RaysW 14-3
Home side
Seattle Mariners
122 comparable spots · 2025–2026 seasons
Win rate
60%
Avg margin
+0.5
Avg total
7.9
Average game total
Spots like this average 7.9 combined points.
Filters: home games only
Show 12 most recent spots
26-06-21vs Boston Red SoxW 3-1
26-06-21vs Boston Red SoxL 1-5
26-06-20vs Boston Red SoxL 2-6
26-06-18vs Baltimore OriolesW 3-0
26-06-18vs Baltimore OriolesL 3-5
26-06-17vs Baltimore OriolesW 3-1
26-06-03vs New York MetsL 1-7
26-06-03vs New York MetsW 8-3
26-06-02vs New York MetsW 3-2
26-05-31vs Arizona DiamondbacksW 3-2
26-05-31vs Arizona DiamondbacksW 5-1
26-05-30vs Arizona DiamondbacksW 7-6
NotesATS and Over/Under rates not shown — historical line data is not in scope yet.
What the season says›
Signals from the data
Opponent weak on the roadmedium
Los Angeles Angels are only 15-27 on the road this season.
Trails the season seriesmedium
Los Angeles Angels lead the season series 2-1 (3 meetings).
Head-to-head this season
Angels
2
Mariners
1
- Last meeting: Los Angeles Angels 8, Seattle Mariners 7
- Los Angeles Angels lead the season series 2-1.
Away
Los Angeles Angels
Overall36-49
Last 106-4
On the road15-27
After a loss21-28
Scoring (last 10)5.2 for / 4.9 against
Home
Seattle Mariners
Overall42-43
Last 104-6
At home22-19
After a loss21-21
Scoring (last 10)2.5 for / 4.1 against
Sources: ESPN team schedule · ESPN team standings · Current season only
How the market sees it›
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