Lean
Take Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 at -110
Research scorecard
How strong is the case?
Moderate evidence
Historical context
Comparable spots split roughly even (55%, 125 games).
Recent form
Los Angeles Dodgers 7-3 in last 10.
Market pricing
Edge of +7.5% versus current price.
Supported byrecent form · market pricing
Note: 3 dimensions omitted due to missing data.
The case for Los Angeles Dodgers
Why we like this bet
- ✓Los Angeles Dodgers (54-30) own the stronger overall record — Athletics sit at 40-44.
- ✓Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-3 over their last 10 — playing their best ball of the stretch.
- ✓Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-3 over their last 10.
- ✓Los Angeles Dodgers are 21-9 (70%) in games immediately after a loss.
- ✓Our number on this side carries an estimated +7.5% edge versus the current price.
Reasons to be cautious
The case against this bet
Nothing in the current data set argues meaningfully against this side.
How similar teams performed›
HISTORICAL EDGE IS NEUTRAL
Across 125 comparable spots in 2025–2026, Los Angeles Dodgers have run roughly to expectation (55%) — no strong directional signal.
CounterpointOpponent has won 44% of comparable home-side spots across 122 games.
Road side
Los Angeles Dodgers
125 comparable spots · 2025–2026 seasons
Win rate
55%
Avg margin
+1.3
Avg total
9
Average game total
Spots like this average 9 combined points.
Filters: road games only
Show 12 most recent spots
26-06-28@ San Diego PadresW 4-2
26-06-28@ San Diego PadresW 15-3
26-06-27@ San Diego PadresL 1-7
26-06-24@ Minnesota TwinsW 4-3
26-06-23@ Minnesota TwinsW 12-3
26-06-22@ Minnesota TwinsW 2-1
26-06-14@ Chicago White SoxL 4-6
26-06-13@ Chicago White SoxW 7-1
26-06-12@ Chicago White SoxL 2-8
26-06-11@ Pittsburgh PiratesW 8-6
26-06-10@ Pittsburgh PiratesL 8-9
26-06-09@ Pittsburgh PiratesW 12-3
Home side
Athletics
122 comparable spots · 2025–2026 seasons
Win rate
44%
Avg margin
-1.2
Avg total
10.7
Average game total
Spots like this average 10.7 combined points.
Filters: home games only
Show 12 most recent spots
26-06-21vs Los Angeles AngelsL 7-9
26-06-21vs Los Angeles AngelsL 0-7
26-06-20vs Los Angeles AngelsW 12-11
26-06-19vs Los Angeles AngelsW 5-0
26-06-18vs Pittsburgh PiratesL 4-12
26-06-17vs Pittsburgh PiratesL 5-6
26-06-16vs Pittsburgh PiratesW 11-2
26-06-14vs Colorado RockiesL 9-23
26-06-14vs Colorado RockiesW 7-5
26-06-13vs Colorado RockiesW 6-4
26-06-11vs Milwaukee BrewersW 4-3
26-06-10vs Milwaukee BrewersW 7-5
NotesATS and Over/Under rates not shown — historical line data is not in scope yet.
What the season says›
Signals from the data
Hot recent formmedium
Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-3 over their last 10.
Bounces back after lossesmedium
Los Angeles Dodgers are 21-9 (70%) in games immediately after a loss.
Head-to-head this season
No prior meetings this season.
Away
Los Angeles Dodgers
Overall54-30
Last 107-3
On the road28-16
After a loss21-9
Scoring (last 10)5.2 for / 4.3 against
Home
Athletics
Overall40-44
Last 104-6
At home18-23
After a loss23-20
Scoring (last 10)4.7 for / 5 against
Sources: ESPN team schedule · ESPN team standings · Current season only
How the market sees it›
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