NHL9:00 PM ET · TNT
BluesSt. Louis Blues0-0-0 · L10 0-0-0, 0 PTS@
9:00 PM
ET · American Airlines Center
StarsDallas Stars · Home0-0-0 · L10 0-0-0, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalSTL+154+1.5-162O 5.5-135DAL-185-1.5+136U 5.5+114
DAL ML open → now-205-185
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Blues @ Stars
YGG's model favours Stars, and the market mostly agrees. At +143 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Blues41%——
Stars59%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceStars -1.5 · Puck line
Other booksCaesars+130DraftKings+130Fanatics+130FanDuel+128BetMGM+125
Best price seen 1 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Blues2.8
—Stars3.1
Stars lineYGG -0.5market -1.5
Total goalsYGG 5.9market 5.5
Goalies
BluesJoel HoferExpected
StarsJake OettingerExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetRivers's +143 implies 41%; YGG makes it 42%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (Jake Oettinger)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Joel Hofer)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #24 · updated Oct 1, 9:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge 0.55 pp / EV 1.33% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge 0.55 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsSTLvsDAL0-0Record0-0
0.0Win %0.0
0-0-0, 0 PTSLast 100-0-0, 0 PTS
0-0-0Road0-0-0
0-0-0Home0-0-0