NHL6:30 PM ET · TNT
RangersNew York Rangers1-1-0 · W1 · L10 1-1-0, 0 PTS@
6:30 PM
ET · Little Caesars Arena
Red WingsDetroit Red Wings · Home0-0-0 · L10 0-0-0, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalNYR+114+1.5-218O 6.5+110DET-135-1.5+180U 6.5-130
DET ML open → now-142-135
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Rangers @ Red Wings
YGG's model favours Red Wings, and the market mostly agrees. At +190 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Rangers46%——
Red Wings54%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceRed Wings -1.5 · Puck line
Other booksBetMGM+180DraftKings+180FanDuel+176Fanatics+175
Best price seen just now. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Rangers3.1
—Red Wings3.0
Red Wings lineYGG -0.3market -1.5
Total goalsYGG 6.1no market total
Goalies
RangersJoonas KorpisaloExpected
Red WingsJohn GibsonExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetRivers's +190 implies 34%; YGG makes it 34%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Adjusted results-0.3 goals
Opponent-adjusted results favour Rangers.
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (John Gibson)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Joonas Korpisalo)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 5 books
- Version
- #22 · updated Oct 1, 9:24 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 2 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 4 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.10 pp / EV -0.29% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.10 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsNYRvsDET1-1Record0-0
50.0Win %0.0
W1Streak-
1-1-0, 0 PTSLast 100-0-0, 0 PTS
0-1-0Road0-0-0
1-0-0Home0-0-0
5Scored0
4Allowed0