NHL7:30 PM ET · ESPN+
DevilsNew Jersey Devils1-0-0 · W1 · L10 1-0-0, 0 PTS@
7:30 PM
ET · UBS Arena
IslandersNew York Islanders · Home0-1-0 · L1 · L10 0-1-0, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalNJ-102+1.5-258O 5.5-130NYI-118-1.5+210U 5.5+110
NYI ML open → now-115-118
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Devils @ Islanders
YGG's model favours Devils, and the market mostly agrees. At -114 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs MarketDevils +4.5 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Devils53%49%+4.5
Islanders47%51%-4.5
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceIslanders ML · Moneyline
Other booksFanatics-115BetMGM-118DraftKings-118
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Devils3.0
—Islanders2.9
Islanders lineYGG +0.2no market line
Total goalsYGG 6.0no market total
Goalies
DevilsJake AllenExpected
IslandersIlya SorokinExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
Caesars's -114 implies 53%; YGG makes it 52%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Adjusted results-0.2 goals
Opponent-adjusted results favour Devils.
- Shot share-0.1 goals
Possession and shots have tilted toward Devils.
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (Ilya Sorokin)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Jake Allen)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 4 books
- Version
- #6 · updated Oct 1, 5:04 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 1 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 4 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 2 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -1.53 pp / EV -2.88% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -1.53 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsNJvsNYI1-0Record0-1
100.0Win %0.0
W1StreakL1
1-0-0, 0 PTSLast 100-1-0, 0 PTS
0-0-0Road0-1-0
1-0-0Home0-0-0
3Scored1
2Allowed2