NHL10:00 PM ET · ESPN+
PanthersFlorida Panthers1-0-0 · W1 · L10 1-0-0, 0 PTS@
10:00 PM
ET · SAP Center at San Jose
SharksSan Jose Sharks · Home0-0-0 · L10 0-0-0, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalFLA-148-1.5+164O 6.5-105SJ+124+1.5-198U 6.5-115
SJ ML open → now+120+124
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Panthers @ Sharks
YGG's model favours Sharks, and the market mostly agrees. At +165 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Panthers45%——
Sharks55%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest pricePanthers -1.5 · Puck line
Other booksCaesars+165DraftKings+164Fanatics+160FanDuel+158BetMGM+155
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Panthers3.1
—Sharks3.1
Sharks lineYGG -0.2market +1.5
Total goalsYGG 6.2market 6.5
Goalies
PanthersJacob MarkstromExpected
SharksYaroslav AskarovExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetRivers's +165 implies 38%; YGG makes it 37%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Shot share-0.1 goals
Possession and shots have tilted toward Sharks.
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (Yaroslav Askarov)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Jacob Markstrom)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #33 · updated Oct 1, 5:04 PM ET · frozen Oct 1, 10:04 PM ET
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -1.15 pp / EV -3.05% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -1.15 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsFLAvsSJ1-0Record0-0
100.0Win %0.0
W1Streak-
1-0-0, 0 PTSLast 100-0-0, 0 PTS
1-0-0Road0-0-0
0-0-0Home0-0-0
1Scored0
0Allowed0