NHL10:00 PM ET · ESPN+
OilersEdmonton Oilers0-0-1 · L1 · L10 0-0-1, 0 PTS@
10:00 PM
ET · Rogers Arena
CanucksVancouver Canucks · Home1-0-0 · W1 · L10 1-0-0, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalEDM-218-1.5+105O 6.5-125VAN+180+1.5-125U 6.5+105
VAN ML open → now+164+180
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Oilers @ Canucks
YGG's model favours Oilers, and the market mostly agrees. At +105 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Oilers64%——
Canucks36%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceUnder 6.5 · Total
Other booksDraftKings+105Fanatics+100Caesars-106FanDuel-106BetRivers-107
Best price seen 2 h ago — refresh at the book before betting. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Oilers3.6
—Canucks2.7
Canucks lineYGG +0.9market +1.5
Total goalsYGG 6.2market 6.5
Goalies
OilersDevon LeviConfirmed
CanucksKevin LankinenConfirmed
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetMGM's +105 implies 49%; YGG makes it 49%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityThin
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #37 · updated Oct 1, 9:44 PM ET · frozen Oct 1, 10:04 PM ET
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.12 pp / EV -0.25% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.12 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsEDMvsVAN0-0Record1-0
0.0Win %100.0
L1StreakW1
0-0-1, 0 PTSLast 101-0-0, 0 PTS
0-0-0Road1-0-0
0-0-1Home0-0-0
5Scored6
6Allowed5