NHL8:00 PM ET · ESPN+
BruinsBoston Bruins1-0-0 · W1 · L10 1-0-0, 0 PTS@
8:00 PM
ET · Canada Life Centre
JetsWinnipeg Jets · Home0-0-0 · L10 0-0-0, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalBOS+102+1.5-250O 5.5-130WPG-122-1.5+205U 5.5+110
WPG ML open → now-120-122
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Bruins @ Jets
YGG's model favours Jets, and the market mostly agrees. At +220 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Bruins48%——
Jets52%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceJets -1.5 · Puck line
Other booksDraftKings+205Fanatics+200FanDuel+198BetMGM+185
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Bruins3.0
—Jets3.0
Jets lineYGG -0.1market -1.5
Total goalsYGG 6.0market 5.5
Goalies
BruinsJeremy SwaymanExpected
JetsStuart SkinnerExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetRivers's +220 implies 31%; YGG makes it 32%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Adjusted results-0.2 goals
Opponent-adjusted results favour Bruins.
- Goaltending-0.1 goals
The goaltending matchup favours Bruins.
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (Stuart Skinner)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Jeremy Swayman)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 5 books
- Version
- #25 · updated Oct 1, 10:24 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge 0.46 pp / EV 1.47% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge 0.46 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsBOSvsWPG1-0Record0-0
100.0Win %0.0
W1Streak-
1-0-0, 0 PTSLast 100-0-0, 0 PTS
0-0-0Road0-0-0
1-0-0Home0-0-0
3Scored0
0Allowed0