NHL7:00 PM ET · ESPN+
CapitalsWashington Capitals0-0-0 · L10 0-0-0, 0 PTS@
7:00 PM
ET · Lenovo Center
HurricanesCarolina Hurricanes · Home0-0-1 · L1 · L10 0-0-1, 0 PTSMLPuck lineTotalWSH+124+1.5-198O 6.5+105CAR-148-1.5+164U 6.5-125
CAR ML open → now-142-148
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Capitals @ Hurricanes
YGG's model favours Hurricanes, and the market mostly agrees. At +175 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Capitals30%——
Hurricanes70%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceHurricanes -1.5 · Puck line
Other booksDraftKings+164Fanatics+160FanDuel+160BetMGM+155
Best price seen just now. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Capitals2.6
—Hurricanes3.6
Hurricanes lineYGG -1.2market -1.5
Total goalsYGG 6.2market 6.5
Goalies
CapitalsLogan ThompsonExpected
HurricanesBrandon BussiExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetRivers's +175 implies 36%; YGG makes it 36%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Goaltending-0.1 goals
The goaltending matchup favours Capitals.
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (Brandon Bussi)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Logan Thompson)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 5 books
- Version
- #12 · updated Oct 1, 8:24 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge 0.13 pp / EV 0.35% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge 0.13 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsWSHvsCAR0-0Record0-0
0.0Win %0.0
-StreakL1
0-0-0, 0 PTSLast 100-0-1, 0 PTS
0-0-0Road0-0-0
0-0-0Home0-0-1