China Open · Round of 32 · Hard court · Fri 3:00 AM ET
Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Medvedev vs Busta · China Open · Round of 32 · Hard court
YGG's model favours Medvedev, and the market mostly agrees. At +370 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs MarketMedvedev -6.3 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Medvedev73%80%-6.3
Busta27%20%+6.3
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceBusta to win · To win
Best price seen 18 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
Match profileChina Open · Round of 32 · Hard court
MedvedevBusta
Rating19821773
Tour matches572435
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
FanDuel's +370 implies 21%; YGG makes it 20%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Overall rating-0.60
Medvedev is the higher-rated player overall.
- Surface rating-0.41
Medvedev rates higher on this surface.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_atp_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- bdl_consensus_v1 · 2 books
- Version
- #65 · updated Oct 1, 9:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 1 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 2 verified books (need 2)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 2 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.87 pp / EV -4.08% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.87 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →