China Open · Round of 16 · Hard court · Fri 1:00 AM ET
Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Molcan vs Khachanov · China Open · Round of 16 · Hard court
YGG's model favours Khachanov, and the market mostly agrees. At +330 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs MarketKhachanov -20.2 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Molcan43%23%+20.2
Khachanov57%77%-20.2
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceMolcan to win · To win
Best price seen 18 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
Match profileChina Open · Round of 16 · Hard court
MolcanKhachanov
Rating18411855
Tour matches124513
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
FanDuel's +330 implies 23%; YGG makes it 23%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Surface rating-0.15
Khachanov rates higher on this surface.
- Experience-0.10
Khachanov has more experience at this level.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_atp_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- bdl_consensus_v1 · 2 books
- Version
- #22 · updated Oct 1, 9:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 1 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 2 verified books (need 2)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 2 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.17 pp / EV -0.74% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.17 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →