MLB8:30 PM ET · FS1
PadresSan Diego Padres91-71 · W2 · L10 8-2@
8:30 PM
ET · American Family Field
BrewersMilwaukee Brewers · Home103-59 · W5 · L10 8-2MLRun lineTotalSD+187+1.5-120O 7-102MIL-230-1.5+100U 7-118
MIL ML open → now-227-230
Lines via DraftKingsNO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Padres @ Brewers
The best available price is Brewers -1.5 +106 at FanDuel. YGG makes it 48%, which the price already reflects.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Padres46%——
Brewers54%——
YGG Model shown for reference. It is still in shadow and does not move the recommendation.
Closest priceBrewers -1.5 · Run line
Other booksBetMGM+105BetRivers+102Caesars+101DraftKings+100Fanatics+100
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_mlb_model_v1
Padres2.8
—Brewers3.3
Brewers lineYGG -0.3market -1.5
Total runsYGG 6.1market 7
Starting pitchers
PadresTBDNot confirmed
BrewersJacob MisiorowskiProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
FanDuel's +106 implies 49%; YGG makes it 48%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Away starting pitcher not confirmed
This is unresolved and can move the number before the start.
- Lineups not posted
This is unresolved and can move the number before the start.
Home starting pitcher probable, not confirmed (Jacob Misiorowski)Away starting pitcher not confirmedLineups not posted
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityThin
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_mlb_model_v1 (shadow) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #41 · updated Oct 1, 10:04 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.72 pp / EV -1.48% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.72 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✕ starter resolved Away starting pitcher not confirmed; Lineups not posted
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →
Form
ESPN standingsSDvsMIL91-71Record103-59
56.2Win %63.6
W2StreakW5
8-2Last 108-2
40-41Road48-33
51-30Home55-26
4.45679Scored5.1358023
4.203704Allowed3.8148148