YGGData
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NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants

Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
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NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Cardinals @ Giants

YGG's model favours Giants, and the market mostly agrees. At +120 there isn't enough left to bet.

YGG Model vs MarketGiants +18.2 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Cardinals37%56%-18.6
Giants63%44%+18.6

Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.

Closest priceGiants ML · Moneyline
Best price+120BetMGM
YGG fair price+12544.5% chance
Value-2.2%-1.0 pts over break-even
Other booksDraftKings+120Fanatics+120Caesars+116FanDuel+116BetRivers+112

Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.

YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Cardinals21
—
Giants23
Giants lineYGG -1.8market +2.5
Total ptsYGG 43.8market 44.5
Quarterbacks
CardinalsJ.BrissettProbable
GiantsJ.WinstonProbable
YGG's read
  • The price already reflects it

    BetMGM's +120 implies 45%; YGG makes it 44%. Not enough left to bet.

What could go wrong
  • Rest and schedule-2.2 pts

    The schedule spot works against Giants.

  • Quarterback edge-1.5 pts

    The quarterback matchup tilts toward Cardinals.

Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
Recommendation engine
tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
Sport model
ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
Market estimate
consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
Version
#36 · updated Oct 1, 8:24 PM ET · updates until the start
  • ✓ not started pregame
  • ✓ sport enabled sport configured
  • ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
  • ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
  • ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
  • ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
  • ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
  • ✕ edge bet edge -0.98 pp / EV -2.16% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
  • ✕ edge lean edge -0.98 pp vs 1.25 pp
  • ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter

Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →