NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Cowboys @ Texans
YGG's model favours Cowboys, and the market mostly agrees. At +136 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs MarketCowboys +11.6 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Cowboys53%41%+11.7
Texans47%59%-11.7
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceCowboys ML · Moneyline
Other booksBetMGM+135Caesars+135Fanatics+135FanDuel+130BetRivers+125
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Cowboys25
—Texans23
Texans lineYGG +2.5market -3
Total ptsYGG 48.4market 48
Quarterbacks
CowboysD.PrescottProbable
TexansC.StroudProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
DraftKings's +136 implies 42%; YGG makes it 41%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Recent results-4.0 pts
Recent results are weaker for Cowboys than the underlying numbers suggest.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #33 · updated Oct 1, 8:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -1.43 pp / EV -3.38% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -1.43 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →