NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Packers @ Buccaneers
YGG's model favours Packers, and the market mostly agrees. At -110 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Packers57%——
Buccaneers43%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceOver 38.5 · Total
Other booksDraftKings-112Fanatics-115FanDuel-115
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Packers21
—Buccaneers22
Buccaneers lineYGG -1.4market +3.5
Total ptsYGG 43.1market 38.5
Quarterbacks
PackersJ.LoveProbable
BuccaneersB.MayfieldProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
Caesars's -110 implies 52%; YGG makes it 51%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Home QB out (B.Mayfield)
Treat the number with less certainty until this clears.
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home QB out (B.Mayfield)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityThin
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 4 books
- Version
- #34 · updated Oct 1, 8:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -1.30 pp / EV -2.48% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -1.30 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →