NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Jaguars @ Bengals
YGG's model favours Jaguars, and the market mostly agrees. At -102 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Jaguars63%——
Bengals37%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceOver 51.5 · Total
Other booksFanDuel-105Caesars-107BetRivers-109BetMGM-110Fanatics-110
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Jaguars27
—Bengals25
Bengals lineYGG +2.7market -2.5
Total ptsYGG 51.9market 51.5
Quarterbacks
JaguarsT.LawrenceProbable
BengalsJ.BurrowProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
DraftKings's -102 implies 50%; YGG makes it 50%. Not enough left to bet.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #21 · updated Oct 1, 8:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.82 pp / EV -1.62% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.82 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →