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Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
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YGG passes
Rams @ Eagles

YGG's model favours Rams, and the market mostly agrees. At +160 there isn't enough left to bet.

YGG Model vs MarketRams -3.5 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Rams59%63%-3.5
Eagles41%37%+3.5

Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.

Closest priceEagles ML · Moneyline
Best price+160BetMGM
YGG fair price+16937.2% chance
Value-3.4%-1.3 pts over break-even
Other booksFanatics+160FanDuel+160Caesars+158DraftKings+154BetRivers+150

Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.

YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Rams24
—
Eagles21
Eagles lineYGG +2.9market +3.5
Total ptsYGG 45.8market 43
Quarterbacks
RamsM.StaffordProbable
EaglesJ.HurtsProbable
YGG's read
  • The price already reflects it

    BetMGM's +160 implies 38%; YGG makes it 37%. Not enough left to bet.

What could go wrong
  • Quarterback edge-1.9 pts

    The quarterback matchup tilts toward Rams.

  • Recent results-1.6 pts

    Recent results are weaker for Eagles than the underlying numbers suggest.

Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
Recommendation engine
tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
Sport model
ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
Market estimate
consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
Version
#37 · updated Oct 1, 9:44 PM ET · updates until the start
  • ✓ not started pregame
  • ✓ sport enabled sport configured
  • ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
  • ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
  • ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
  • ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
  • ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
  • ✕ edge bet edge -1.29 pp / EV -3.36% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
  • ✕ edge lean edge -1.29 pp vs 1.25 pp
  • ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter

Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →