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Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens

Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
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NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Titans @ Ravens

YGG's model favours Ravens, and the market mostly agrees. At -105 there isn't enough left to bet.

Watch: Home QB questionable (Lamar Jackson)This could move the number before the start.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Titans20%——
Ravens80%——

Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.

Closest priceUnder 42.5 · Total
Best price-105FanDuel
YGG fair price+10049.9% chance
Value-2.6%-1.3 pts over break-even
Other booksCaesars-106BetMGM-108Fanatics-110DraftKings-112

Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.

YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Titans17
—
Ravens30
Ravens lineYGG -12.7market -11.5
Total ptsYGG 46.3market 42.5
Quarterbacks
TitansC.WardProbable
RavensL.JacksonProbable
YGG's read
  • The price already reflects it

    FanDuel's -105 implies 51%; YGG makes it 50%. Not enough left to bet.

What could go wrong
  • Home QB questionable (Lamar Jackson)

    This is unresolved and can move the number before the start.

Home QB questionable (Lamar Jackson)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (qb_questionable×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
Recommendation engine
tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
Sport model
ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
Market estimate
consensus_devig_v1 · 5 books
Version
#22 · updated Oct 1, 8:24 PM ET · updates until the start
  • ✓ not started pregame
  • ✓ sport enabled sport configured
  • ✓ market present 2 instrument(s)
  • ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
  • ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
  • ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
  • ✓ candidates 4 priced side(s)
  • ✕ edge bet edge -1.33 pp / EV -2.60% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
  • ✕ edge lean edge -1.33 pp vs 1.25 pp
  • ✕ starter resolved Home QB questionable (Lamar Jackson)

Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →