NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Broncos @ 49ers
YGG's model favours 49ers, and the market mostly agrees. At -137 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market49ers +9.9 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Broncos33%43%-9.9
49ers67%57%+9.9
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest price49ers ML · Moneyline
Other booksBetMGM-145Fanatics-145Caesars-148DraftKings-148FanDuel-148
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Broncos21
—49ers26
49ers lineYGG -4.4market -2.5
Total ptsYGG 47.3market 47.5
Quarterbacks
BroncosB.NixProbable
49ersB.PurdyProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetRivers's -137 implies 58%; YGG makes it 57%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Rest and schedule-2.2 pts
The schedule spot works against 49ers.
- Passing efficiency-1.4 pts
Recent passing efficiency favours Broncos.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #17 · updated Oct 1, 8:24 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.60 pp / EV -1.04% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.60 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →