YGGData
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NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders

Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
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NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Chiefs @ Raiders

The best available price is Raiders ML +188 at FanDuel. YGG makes it 34%, which the price already reflects.

Watch: Home QB questionable (Aidan O'Connell)This could move the number before the start.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Chiefs—66%—
Raiders—34%—

No YGG sporting model for this event yet — the market column is de-vigged sportsbook consensus.

Closest priceRaiders ML · Moneyline
Best price+188FanDuel
YGG fair price+19234.3% chance
Value-1.4%-0.5 pts over break-even
Other booksBetMGM+180BetRivers+180DraftKings+180Caesars+177Fanatics+175

Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.

Quarterbacks
ChiefsTBDProbable
RaidersTBDProbable
YGG's read
  • The price already reflects it

    FanDuel's +188 implies 35%; YGG makes it 34%. Not enough left to bet.

What could go wrong
  • Home QB questionable (Aidan O'Connell)

    This is unresolved and can move the number before the start.

Home QB probable, not confirmedAway QB probable, not confirmedHome QB questionable (Aidan O'Connell)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
Recommendation engine
tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
Sport model
none
Market estimate
consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
Version
#20 · updated Oct 1, 8:44 PM ET · updates until the start
  • ✓ not started pregame
  • ✓ sport enabled sport configured
  • ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
  • ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
  • ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
  • ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
  • ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
  • ✕ edge bet edge -0.47 pp / EV -1.35% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
  • ✕ edge lean edge -0.47 pp vs 1.25 pp
  • ✕ starter resolved Home QB questionable (Aidan O'Connell)

Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →