NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Chargers @ Seahawks
YGG's model favours Seahawks, and the market mostly agrees. At +295 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs MarketSeahawks +10.3 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Chargers15%25%-10.3
Seahawks85%75%+10.3
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceChargers ML · Moneyline
Other booksFanDuel+295BetMGM+280Fanatics+275BetRivers+265Caesars+265
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Chargers13
—Seahawks27
Seahawks lineYGG -13.6market -7
Total ptsYGG 39.5market 42.5
Quarterbacks
ChargersJ.HerbertProbable
SeahawksS.DarnoldProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
DraftKings's +295 implies 25%; YGG makes it 26%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Recent results-9.7 pts
Recent results are weaker for Chargers than the underlying numbers suggest.
- Quarterback edge-2.5 pts
The quarterback matchup tilts toward Seahawks.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #25 · updated Oct 1, 8:24 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 3 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 6 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge 0.22 pp / EV 0.85% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge 0.22 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →