NFL · Sun 8:20 PM ET
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Lions @ Panthers
YGG's model favours Lions, and the market mostly agrees. At +168 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs MarketLions -12.7 pts
YGGMarketDiff
Lions51%63%-12.7
Panthers49%37%+12.7
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest pricePanthers ML · Moneyline
Other booksBetMGM+165Caesars+164Fanatics+160BetRivers+155DraftKings+154
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nfl_model_v1
Lions25
—Panthers26
Panthers lineYGG -0.9market +3.5
Total ptsYGG 51.0market 50.5
Quarterbacks
LionsJ.GoffProbable
PanthersB.YoungProbable
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
FanDuel's +168 implies 37%; YGG makes it 37%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Quarterback edge-2.3 pts
The quarterback matchup tilts toward Lions.
- Offensive efficiency-0.9 pts
Offensive efficiency per play favours Lions.
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityComplete
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nfl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 6 books
- Version
- #24 · updated Oct 1, 8:44 PM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 4 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 6 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 8 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -0.53 pp / EV -1.42% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -0.53 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →