NHL · Sun 8:00 PM ET
Calgary Flames @ Seattle Kraken
Scores, lines and injuries open once this game is on the ESPN feed. The YGG call below is current.
NO PLAYYGG passes
YGG passes
Flames @ Kraken
YGG's model favours Kraken, and the market mostly agrees. At -105 there isn't enough left to bet.
YGG Model vs Market
YGGMarketDiff
Flames44%——
Kraken56%——
Historical evidence shows the market already prices what this model knows, so the call is priced on the market; the model is shown for context.
Closest priceOver 5.5 · Total
Other booksDraftKings-110Caesars-112
Best price seen 3 min ago. Prices move; the thresholds above tell you when it stops being a play.
YGG projectionygg_nhl_model_v1
Flames2.9
—Kraken3.2
Kraken lineYGG -0.3no market line
Total goalsYGG 6.0market 5.5
Goalies
FlamesDevin CooleyExpected
KrakenPhilipp GrubauerExpected
YGG's read
- The price already reflects it
BetMGM's -105 implies 51%; YGG makes it 50%. Not enough left to bet.
What could go wrong
- Thin model inputs
Part of the model's read rests on limited or prior-season data.
Home goalie expected, not confirmed (Philipp Grubauer)Away goalie expected, not confirmed (Devin Cooley)Model weight reduced for unconfirmed inputs (goalie_unconfirmed×0.5)
Model convictionNone
Price qualityNot playable
Data qualityPartial
How this call was made
- Recommendation engine
- tip_engine_v2 · config aa9085aea94f5c2d
- Sport model
- ygg_nhl_model_v1 (beta_public) · not used in the price
- Market estimate
- consensus_devig_v1 · 3 books
- Version
- #3 · updated Oct 1, 6:24 AM ET · updates until the start
- ✓ not started pregame
- ✓ sport enabled sport configured
- ✓ market present 2 instrument(s)
- ✓ min books 3 verified books (need 3)
- ✓ price fresh fresh prices available
- ✓ dispersion market agrees on the number
- ✓ candidates 4 priced side(s)
- ✕ edge bet edge -1.22 pp / EV -2.38% vs 2.50 pp / 2%
- ✕ edge lean edge -1.22 pp vs 1.25 pp
- ✓ starter resolved no unresolved starter
Calls freeze at the start and are graded against the result and the closing price. See the record →